Microsoft, Apple, Meta, Amazon earnings breakdown, and markets for the week
Everything you need to know about the markets in three minutes or less
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Hi there!
Let’s see what is upcoming in the markets this upcoming week, and what happened this week quickly before the week begins!
Looking at last week’s markets, the markets calmed down as earnings began, with S&P 500 up +5.6% last week. Here is what that looked like in the heatmaps:
Once again, Trump news keeps happening, so we made it simple to follow Trump posts, and news. For example, you can see the full tariff breakdown here at unusualwhales.com/trump-tracker. On that page we added a way for you to alert yourself on any TruthSocial post, without having to create a TruthSocial account.
It should be said, before the 90 day tariff paused, we highlighted numerous unusual trading, so much so, we made a post about it. You can find that here:
Unusual Options Trading Before Trump's Tariff Announcement Pause
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Apr 11
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Now to earnings. Let’s break down Microsoft, MSFT earnings, before we break down all other company earnings. Microsoft’s earnings have a full breakdown on Unusual Whales at https://unusualwhales.com/stock/MSFT/earnings.
Microsoft earnings have been hard to predict, but it generally has a runup into earnings, and then it runs positively most days after earnings, with on average being up 2% 20 days after the earnings. It is up percentage wise a lot given the drop 21 days ago due to tariffs. Let’s dig in.
Over the last 12 quarters, MSFT has incredibly poorly-defined earnings with large implied moves, but mostly range bound, with market markers still being very BAD at pricing the last moves - the last moves falling within the expected price move only 6 of the last 11 times! At the moment, the Implied Move (expected move) for MSFT is quite high, at 4.14% (or $16.21 in dollar terms (which is an expensive move, due to the high stock price). The 4.14% move is the LARGEST implied move over the last 3 quarters! Due to the large expected move, you can see that there is a lot of premium in MSFT options right now, where buying contracts might pose a huge risk of IV crush.
You can see that overwhelmingly MSFT has outperformed in EPS and financials recently. Is MSFT tariff agnostic? Probably, but with current market volatility one can never know.
How would straddles have performed if you took them? One interesting thing about MSFT is that due to its range-bound IV, even if market makers get the one day move wrong after earnings, after one week, things level out. So the one day short straddle worked 7 of 11 times, but the one WEEK short straddle worked 8/11, and had a far higher percentage. As a result, if MSFT moves against you (say you are on the long side and it goes down, you sold some puts or spreads), MSFT has a tendency to recover from those moves MOST times.
If you are buying direction, generally up has worked, but MSFT has had volatile earnings (to the upside) so be careful with your wings, a broken butterfly might be effective here. Ratio spreads might work here, or selling diagonals might be a good idea! You can see more option strategies at Unusual Whales and our options profit calculator by clicking here.
You can once again see more at unusualwhales.com/stock/MSFT/earnings
Here are the upcoming earnings this week, including the expected moves, EPS mean estimates, and notable details. See more at unusualwhales.com/earnings.
Below you can see all company earnings at https://unusualwhales.com/earnings?formats=table&order=report_date&order_direction=asc&min_options_vol=500
April 28, 2025
Transocean (RIG) reports postmarket with an expected stock move of $0.23, EPS estimate of -0.12, stock volume of 25,427,748, and options volume of 9,657.
Domino’s Pizza (DPZ) reports premarket with an expected stock move of $28.78, EPS estimate of 4.12, stock volume of 1,020,550, and options volume of 6,699.
April 29, 2025
JetBlue (JBLU) reports premarket with an expected stock move of $0.43, EPS estimate of -0.61, stock volume of 19,760,568, and options volume of 9,309.
Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL) reports premarket with an expected stock move of $13.85, EPS estimate of 2.53, stock volume of 1,492,905, and options volume of 6,089.
Enterprise Products Partners LP (EPD) reports premarket with an expected stock move of $0.88, EPS estimate of 0.69, stock volume of 3,821,410, and options volume of 11,279.
General Motors (GM) reports premarket with an expected stock move of $2.66, EPS estimate of 2.69, stock volume of 8,108,116, and options volume of 45,101.
BP (BP) reports premarket with an expected stock move of $1.22, EPS estimate of 0.56, stock volume of 5,317,681, and options volume of 19,150.
Spotify (SPOT) reports premarket with an expected stock move of $57.89, EPS estimate of 2.35, stock volume of 2,586,198, and options volume of 19,352.
Altria (MO) reports premarket with an expected stock move of $1.89, EPS estimate of 1.17, stock volume of 5,680,247, and options volume of 16,814.
UPS (UPS) reports premarket with an expected stock move of $5.92, EPS estimate of 1.42, stock volume of 4,577,577, and options volume of 23,468.
Kraft Heinz (KHC) reports premarket with an expected stock move of $1.26, EPS estimate of 0.6, stock volume of 8,152,374, and options volume of 12,620.
SoFi Technologies (SOFI) reports premarket with an expected stock move of $1.36, EPS estimate of 0.03, stock volume of 70,643,999, and options volume of 385,481.
Snap (SNAP) reports postmarket with an expected stock move of $1.40, EPS estimate of -0.12, stock volume of 32,816,074, and options volume of 114,888.
Caesars Entertainment (CZR) reports postmarket with an expected stock move of $1.97, EPS estimate of -0.19, stock volume of 5,507,752, and options volume of 9,173.
First Solar (FSLR) reports postmarket with an expected stock move of $11.36, EPS estimate of 2.49, stock volume of 2,702,564, and options volume of 36,515.
BridgeBio Pharma (BBIO) reports postmarket with an expected stock move of $3.84, EPS estimate of -0.95, stock volume of 1,287,717, and options volume of 5,196.
April 30, 2025
Western Digital (WDC) reports premarket with an expected stock move of $2.80, EPS estimate of 1.06, stock volume of 4,158,510, and options volume of 10,429.
Humana (HUM) reports premarket with an expected stock move of $25.02, EPS estimate of 9.98, stock volume of 1,097,887, and options volume of 9,615.
GE Healthcare Technologies (GEHC) reports premarket with an expected stock move of $4.22, EPS estimate of 0.91, stock volume of 5,467,521, and options volume of 5,712.
Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) reports premarket with an expected stock move of $1.41, EPS estimate of 0.02, stock volume of 10,184,781, and options volume of 16,047.
Bloom Energy (BE) reports postmarket with an expected stock move of $2.08, EPS estimate of -0.15, stock volume of 5,913,079, and options volume of 10,902.
Robinhood (HOOD) reports postmarket with an expected stock move of $5.61, EPS estimate of 0.32, stock volume of 34,623,256, and options volume of 407,111.
Albemarle (ALB) reports postmarket with an expected stock move of $4.29, EPS estimate of -0.62, stock volume of 3,064,974, and options volume of 5,307.
Pfizer (PFE) reports premarket with an expected stock move of $0.79, EPS estimate of 0.64, stock volume of 35,847,666, and options volume of 216,092.
Caterpillar (CAT) reports premarket with an expected stock move of $14.31, EPS estimate of 4.3, stock volume of 2,162,116, and options volume of 11,451.
Qualcomm (QCOM) reports postmarket with an expected stock move of $8.57, EPS estimate of 2.27, stock volume of 5,145,316, and options volume of 55,811.
Meta (META) reports postmarket with an expected stock move of $38.25, EPS estimate of 5.21, stock volume of 17,098,895, and options volume of 590,757.
Microsoft (MSFT) reports postmarket with an expected stock move of $16.21, EPS estimate of 3.2, stock volume of 18,973,150, and options volume of 246,702.
May 1, 2025
Wayfair (W) reports premarket with an expected stock move of $3.62, EPS estimate of -0.9, stock volume of 3,870,723, and options volume of 8,620.
Medical Properties Trust (MPW) reports premarket with an expected stock move of $0.32, EPS estimate of 0.15, stock volume of 5,260,309, and options volume of 14,893.
Blue Owl Capital (OWL) reports premarket with an expected stock move of $1.68, EPS estimate of 0.19, stock volume of 4,338,295, and options volume of 12,818.
Moderna (MRNA) reports premarket with an expected stock move of $2.61, EPS estimate of -2.92, stock volume of 7,718,886, and options volume of 100,736.
Eli Lilly (LLY) reports premarket with an expected stock move of $42.75, EPS estimate of 3.52, stock volume of 3,398,360, and options volume of 48,740.
McDonald’s (MCD) reports premarket with an expected stock move of $10.12, EPS estimate of 2.64, stock volume of 2,282,605, and options volume of 43,766.
CVS (CVS) reports premarket with an expected stock move of $3.96, EPS estimate of 1.67, stock volume of 5,022,138, and options volume of 36,872.
Roblox (RBLX) reports premarket with an expected stock move of $7.41, EPS estimate of -0.41, stock volume of 4,441,564, and options volume of 22,717.
Estée Lauder (EL) reports premarket with an expected stock move of $5.71, EPS estimate of 0.3, stock volume of 2,585,651, and options volume of 9,406.
Twilio (TWLO) reports postmarket with an expected stock move of $10.05, EPS estimate of 0.24, stock volume of 2,286,485, and options volume of 9,178.
Summit Therapeutics (SMMT) reports postmarket with an expected stock move of $3.70, EPS estimate of -0.1, stock volume of 24,669,592, and options volume of 49,976.
United States Steel (X) reports postmarket with an expected stock move of $2.65, EPS estimate of -0.53, stock volume of 5,065,528, and options volume of 27,171.
Atlassian (TEAM) reports postmarket with an expected stock move of $25.64, EPS estimate of -0.06, stock volume of 2,545,252, and options volume of 5,898.
Reddit (RDDT) reports postmarket with an expected stock move of $15.62, EPS estimate of 0.03, stock volume of 8,701,467, and options volume of 50,008.
Block (XYZ) reports postmarket with an expected stock move of $5.40, EPS estimate of 0.48, stock volume of 5,625,884, and options volume of 51,390.
Amazon (AMZN) reports postmarket with an expected stock move of $10.92, EPS estimate of 1.35, stock volume of 36,414,001, and options volume of 699,956.
Apple (AAPL) reports postmarket with an expected stock move of $9.24, EPS estimate of 1.6, stock volume of 38,221,676, and options volume of 815,084.
Here are the economic events for the week (reminder, we added a Trump calendar seen here: https://unusualwhales.com/trump-tracker)
Here is the economic calendar this week. More at unusualwhales.com/economic-calendar:
Tuesday, April 29
5:30 AM PDT –
Advanced Wholesale Inventories (March): Insight into supply chain stock levels.
Advanced Retail Inventories (March): Reflects inventory trends in consumer goods.
Advanced U.S. Trade Balance in Goods (March): Signals export-import dynamics.
6:00 AM PDT – S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index (20 cities) – February
A key measure of home price growth in major urban markets.7:00 AM PDT –
Job Openings (March): Indicates labor demand and potential wage pressures.
Consumer Confidence (April): Gauges consumer sentiment and future spending intent.
Wednesday, April 30
5:15 AM PDT – ADP Employment (April)
Private sector payroll growth, often seen as a precursor to the official jobs report.5:30 AM PDT – A major data cluster:
Employment Cost Index (Q1): Tracks wage and benefit inflation.
Core PCE (Year-over-Year) & Core PCE Index (March): The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge.
PCE (Year-over-Year) & PCE Index (March): Overall inflation, including volatile items.
Personal Spending (March) & Personal Income (March): Consumer activity data.
GDP (Q2 Estimate): Snapshot of U.S. economic growth.
6:45 AM PDT – Chicago Business Barometer (PMI) – April
Regional measure of manufacturing strength.7:00 AM PDT – Pending Home Sales (March)
Forward-looking indicator for housing market activity.
Thursday, May 1
5:30 AM PDT – Initial Jobless Claims
Weekly indicator of labor market tightness.6:45 AM PDT – S&P Final U.S. Manufacturing PMI (April)
Final confirmation of manufacturing sector health.7:00 AM PDT –
Construction Spending (March): Reflects investment in real estate and infrastructure.
ISM Manufacturing (April): A major gauge of national manufacturing activity.
Friday, May 2
5:30 AM PDT – The headline labor market reports:
Hourly Wages (Year-over-Year): Measures wage inflation pressures.
U.S. Hourly Wages (April): Month-over-month wage trends.
U.S. Unemployment Rate (April): Key labor market indicator.
U.S. Employment Report (April): Tracks job creation across sectors.
7:00 AM PDT – Factory Orders (March)
Indicates demand for manufactured goods, a sign of industrial strength.
Highlights to Watch:
Wednesday is the busiest day, with inflation (Core PCE), GDP, income/spending, and wages all being released.
Friday's Jobs Report will be key for market sentiment on Fed policy, especially in light of inflation trends.
Housing and consumer confidence data will provide further insight into demand-side strength.
Once again, we realized a post and youtube video on the unusual trading on Trump’s tariffs, which You can also see the YouTube Video Breakdown of these trades by clicking here!
Thank you as always for reading!!
NOTE: This post is not financial advice. The stock market is risky, and any trade or investment is expected to have some, or total, loss. Please do research before any trade. Do not use this information for investment decisions. Check terms on site for full terms. Agree to terms before considering this information.